They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · February 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WKU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 157.5 Under
Money WKU -213 / SHSU +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual SHSU +2 156 Lost
Massey WKU -6.3 (-8.3) — —
Massey Totals — 153.9 (+2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WKU -3.7 (-5.7) 150.5 (+5.5) 61% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WKU -3.8 (-5.8) 147.9 (+8.1) 61% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WKU -4.0 (-6.0) 148.1 (+7.9) 68% ✗
Baseline ML WKU -4.1 (-6.1) 148.7 (+7.3) 65% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 SHSU 73 – 58 WKU
Jan 2, 2026 WKU 102 – 91 SHSU
Feb 21, 2025 SHSU 78 – 62 WKU
Jan 25, 2025 WKU 75 – 66 SHSU
Jan 11, 2024 SHSU 78 – 74 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU SHSU
Overall 22-12 21-12
Conference 8-8 13-3
Home 12-2 12-2
Away 6-7 7-9
Neutral 4-3 2-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.8 71.3
Avg Pts Against 74.7 69.9
Massey 0.3 (#161) -2.4 (#209)
Bradley-Terry 0.35 (#145) 0.21 (#153)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.31 (#156) 0.01 (#170)
RPI 0.515 (#148) 0.518 (#137)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU SHSU
FG% 46.4% 40.6%
3PT% 34.3% 32.1%
REB / G 39.2 37.1
OREB / G 10.6 12.1
AST / TO 0.90 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 46.1%
TOV% 19.4% 18.2%
ORB% 29.0% 30.9%
FT Rate 21.1% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 19.5%
DRB% 72.5% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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