Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RGV +275 SEA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +1 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -9.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -10.1 (+11.1) | 143.1 (+17.9) | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -8.7 (+9.7) | 145.3 (+15.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.3 (+10.3) | 145.2 (+15.8) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -8.2 (+9.2) | 143.8 (+17.2) | 18% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | SEA 84 – 56 RGV |
| Jan 6, 2023 | SEA 66 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 17, 2022 | SEA 102 – 62 RGV |
| Feb 11, 2022 | SEA 67 – 59 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L14 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#320) | 3.9 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#332) | 0.29 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#345) | 0.81 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#314) | 0.501 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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