Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -1000 RGV +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -12.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-31.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -10.5 (-2.5) | 157.0 (-31.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -11.0 (-3.0) | 155.0 (-29.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -12.0 (-4.0) | 156.3 (-30.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -10.7 (-2.7) | 156.1 (-30.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | SEA 84 – 56 RGV |
| Jan 12, 2024 | RGV 81 – 80 SEA |
| Jan 6, 2023 | SEA 66 – 64 RGV |
| Feb 17, 2022 | SEA 102 – 62 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 17-2 | 4-9 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#128) | -6.6 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#104) | -1.71 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#108) | -1.94 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.443 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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