Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | RGV +250 SEA -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -4.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-30.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -4.2 (+2.2) | 155.2 (-25.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -6.0 (+4.0) | 155.8 (-25.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.5 (+2.5) | 156.3 (-26.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.0 (+2.0) | 154.9 (-24.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | SEA 84 – 56 RGV |
| Jan 12, 2024 | RGV 81 – 80 SEA |
| Feb 17, 2022 | SEA 102 – 62 RGV |
| Feb 11, 2022 | SEA 67 – 59 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#301) | 1.6 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#204) | 0.80 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#227) | 0.82 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#172) | 0.542 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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