The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Coastal Athletic Association · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · January 25, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -1.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money CAM -125 / ELON +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +10 146 Won
Massey CAM -3.2 (+6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 140.8 (+5.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 58% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 60% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -1.3 (+8.7) 138.1 (+7.9) 61% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -2.0 (+8.0) 139.3 (+6.7) 60% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -1.3 (+8.7) 138.0 (+8.0) 61% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -1.9 (+8.1) 139.6 (+6.4) 59% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 ELON 83 – 82 CAM
Feb 7, 2025 CAM 76 – 58 ELON
Jan 14, 2025 ELON 81 – 68 CAM
Feb 2, 2024 CAM 69 – 67 ELON
Dec 16, 2020 ELON 66 – 56 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM ELON
Overall 14-18 13-19
Conference 8-10 6-12
Home 11-6 8-6
Away 3-11 3-11
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.0 70.3
Avg Pts Against 73.9 76.2
Massey -9.0 (#314) -8.5 (#305)
Bradley-Terry -1.62 (#317) -1.26 (#288)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.05 (#314) -1.69 (#299)
RPI 0.398 (#333) 0.435 (#286)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM ELON
FG% 43.1% 43.6%
3PT% 30.8% 36.7%
REB / G 31.6 33.5
OREB / G 7.4 10.3
AST / TO 0.89 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 51.3%
TOV% 19.1% 17.6%
ORB% 23.6% 29.6%
FT Rate 26.5% 23.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 53.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.6%
DRB% 68.6% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.7% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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