Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | ELON -190 CAM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -3.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -3.2 (+6.8) | 147.5 (-25.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -2.2 (+7.8) | 144.7 (-22.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -1.8 (+8.2) | 149.0 (-27.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | ELON 83 – 82 CAM |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CAM 76 – 58 ELON |
| Jan 14, 2025 | ELON 81 – 68 CAM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CAM 69 – 67 ELON |
| Jan 25, 2024 | CAM 78 – 68 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 4-7 | 11-6 |
| Home | 4-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#219) | -1.0 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#135) | 2.35 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#148) | 2.94 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#202) | 0.586 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 57.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 22.0 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 63.0% |
| TOV% | 9.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 15.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.9% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 88.2% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 73.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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