That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Coastal Athletic Association · John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CAM -0.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money CAM -110 / ELON -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual CAM +18 134 Won
Massey CAM -1.8 (+16.2) — —
Massey Totals — 134.4 (-0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -1.6 (+16.4) 135.9 (-1.9) 64% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -1.4 (+16.6) 135.6 (-1.6) 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -2.2 (+15.8) 135.2 (-1.2) 63% ✓
Baseline ML CAM -2.1 (+15.9) 135.8 (-1.8) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 11, 2026 ELON 83 – 82 CAM
Jan 14, 2025 ELON 81 – 68 CAM
Feb 2, 2024 CAM 69 – 67 ELON
Jan 25, 2024 CAM 78 – 68 ELON
Dec 16, 2020 ELON 66 – 56 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM ELON
Overall 15-17 17-16
Conference 10-8 8-10
Home 8-6 10-4
Away 7-10 6-9
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L5 L5
Avg Pts For 68.9 71.5
Avg Pts Against 69.3 70.9
Massey -0.7 (#173) 0.7 (#150)
Bradley-Terry -0.67 (#229) 0.06 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#207) 0.15 (#161)
RPI 0.463 (#246) 0.508 (#164)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM ELON
FG% 43.3% 42.7%
3PT% 32.9% 31.2%
REB / G 31.5 40.0
OREB / G 7.7 12.7
AST / TO 1.26 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 49.1%
TOV% 15.7% 18.0%
ORB% 22.9% 37.7%
FT Rate 24.1% 30.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 46.4%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 13.2%
DRB% 73.6% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 17.0%

Game Analysis

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