Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | W&M +170 DEL -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +28 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -6.6 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -6.1 (-21.9) | 141.1 (-7.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -6.3 (-21.7) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -6.3 (-21.7) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -6.4 (-21.6) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
| Feb 19, 2022 | DEL 73 – 69 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#310) | 1.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#331) | 0.05 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#330) | 0.23 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#338) | 0.500 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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