Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -10.7 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -10.6 (+6.6) | 141.0 (+1.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -8.6 (+4.6) | 141.4 (+0.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -9.5 (+5.5) | 142.5 (-0.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -10.8 (+6.8) | 142.0 (+0.0) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L10 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#332) | 1.4 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#331) | 0.74 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#343) | 0.70 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#339) | 0.545 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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