Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -170 DEL +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +22 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -1.9 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -2.2 (-24.2) | 154.7 (+23.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.6 (-22.6) | 155.9 (+22.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -2.1 (-24.1) | 156.4 (+21.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -2.5 (-24.5) | 154.2 (+23.8) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 10, 2024 | DEL 69 – 58 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
| Feb 19, 2022 | DEL 73 – 69 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#219) | -5.1 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#188) | -0.89 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#182) | -1.09 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#166) | 0.480 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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