Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | DEL -1000 W&M +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -15.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -13.7 (-2.7) | 142.8 (-15.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -10.3 (+0.7) | 141.9 (-14.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -12.2 (-1.2) | 143.7 (-16.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -13.3 (-2.3) | 142.7 (-15.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | DEL 100 – 78 W&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DEL 74 – 64 W&M |
| Feb 2, 2024 | DEL 81 – 53 W&M |
| Jan 20, 2023 | DEL 80 – 53 W&M |
| Feb 19, 2022 | DEL 73 – 69 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#129) | -9.6 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -2.05 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#140) | -2.42 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#144) | 0.390 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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