Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | RGV -300 LAM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RGV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +32 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -15.6 (-47.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -9.8 (-41.8) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -9.0 (-41.0) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -9.8 (-41.8) | 147.6 (-11.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -10.1 (-42.1) | 149.0 (-13.0) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | RGV 70 – 65 LAM |
| Dec 17, 2025 | RGV 83 – 72 LAM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | LAM 70 – 68 RGV |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RGV 67 – 63 LAM |
| Feb 3, 2022 | RGV 93 – 79 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RGV | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#99) | -6.3 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#96) | -2.28 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#91) | -3.28 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#83) | 0.369 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RGV | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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