Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -175 RGV +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +11 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -0.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -1.4 (-12.4) | 132.4 (+22.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -2.8 (-13.8) | 133.0 (+22.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -1.4 (-12.4) | 131.2 (+23.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -1.0 (-12.0) | 131.6 (+23.4) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | RGV 70 – 65 LAM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | LAM 70 – 68 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LAM 84 – 52 RGV |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RGV 67 – 63 LAM |
| Feb 3, 2022 | RGV 93 – 79 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 14-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#229) | 0.5 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#222) | -0.66 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#222) | -0.75 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#311) | 0.466 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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