Betting Lines
| Spread | RGV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RGV +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | RGV -2.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RGV -4.1 (+0.1) | 143.1 (-13.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RGV -2.7 (-1.3) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RGV -4.0 (+0.0) | 142.1 (-12.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RGV -4.7 (+0.7) | 144.0 (-14.0) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | RGV 70 – 65 LAM |
| Dec 17, 2025 | RGV 83 – 72 LAM |
| Feb 9, 2025 | LAM 70 – 68 RGV |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LAM 84 – 52 RGV |
| Feb 3, 2022 | RGV 93 – 79 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 3-15 |
| Home | 2-11 | 4-9 |
| Away | 0-18 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L27 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#345) | -8.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.71 (#358) | -1.97 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.92 (#358) | -2.19 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.337 (#358) | 0.432 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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