Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -195 RGV +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -4.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -4.7 (-2.7) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -5.0 (-3.0) | 146.4 (-8.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -4.9 (-2.9) | 143.2 (-5.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.8 (-2.8) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | RGV 70 – 65 LAM |
| Dec 17, 2025 | RGV 83 – 72 LAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | LAM 84 – 52 RGV |
| Mar 3, 2022 | RGV 67 – 63 LAM |
| Feb 3, 2022 | RGV 93 – 79 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#196) | -3.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#216) | -0.69 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#212) | -0.95 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#196) | 0.471 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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