I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 4, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money CBU -120 / SEA +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual SEA +1 121 Lost
Massey CBU -0.5 (-1.5) — —
Massey Totals — 134.4 (-13.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -1.8 (-2.8) 134.2 (-13.2) 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -0.1 (-1.1) 133.2 (-12.2) 54% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -1.5 (-2.5) 134.3 (-13.3) 56% ✗
Baseline ML CBU -1.4 (-2.4) 134.3 (-13.3) 52% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 72 – 48 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 61 – 59 SEA
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 81 – 57 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 48 – 46 CBU
Feb 16, 2023 CBU 84 – 63 SEA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SEA
Overall 16-17 23-14
Conference 8-12 11-9
Home 11-7 14-4
Away 4-9 4-9
Neutral 1-1 5-1
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 67.1 73.0
Avg Pts Against 67.1 67.4
Massey 0.5 (#154) 3.5 (#117)
Bradley-Terry 0.06 (#169) 0.26 (#149)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#158) 0.86 (#114)
RPI 0.485 (#197) 0.502 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SEA
FG% 41.3% 43.8%
3PT% 32.5% 32.1%
REB / G 37.2 36.4
OREB / G 12.5 10.4
AST / TO 0.95 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 50.0%
TOV% 16.8% 19.4%
ORB% 33.9% 30.3%
FT Rate 26.1% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 18.8%
DRB% 75.3% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 28.0%

Game Analysis

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