Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -280 CBU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +24 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -3.2 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.1 (+21.9) | 140.0 (-20.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -2.6 (+21.4) | 138.2 (-18.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.8 (+22.2) | 138.4 (-18.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.9 (+22.1) | 139.8 (-19.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2025 | CBU 61 – 59 SEA |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SEA 81 – 57 CBU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SEA 61 – 60 CBU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SEA 48 – 46 CBU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | CBU 84 – 63 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#156) | 0.3 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#240) | -0.23 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#216) | -0.13 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#238) | 0.491 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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