Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Seattle U Redhawks
81 – 57
FINAL Neutral Conference WAC
California Baptist Lancers
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 15, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SEA -7.5 Home covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Money SEA -300 / CBU +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total SEA win
Actual SEA +24 138 Won
Massey SEA -4.2 (+19.8) — —
Massey Totals — 129.0 (+9.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SEA -2.5 (+21.5) 131.6 (+6.4) 60% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -2.7 (+21.3) 129.1 (+8.9) 64% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SEA -3.0 (+21.0) 129.2 (+8.8) 61% ✓
Baseline ML SEA -2.8 (+21.2) 130.2 (+7.8) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 72 – 48 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 61 – 59 SEA
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 61 – 60 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 48 – 46 CBU
Feb 16, 2023 CBU 84 – 63 SEA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SEA CBU
Overall 23-14 16-17
Conference 11-9 8-12
Home 14-4 11-7
Away 4-9 4-9
Neutral 5-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak W4 L1
Avg Pts For 73.0 67.1
Avg Pts Against 67.4 67.1
Massey 2.9 (#122) -1.3 (#183)
Bradley-Terry 0.19 (#149) -0.43 (#219)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.50 (#134) -0.38 (#204)
RPI 0.510 (#154) 0.463 (#260)
Shooting & Four Factors SEA CBU
FG% 43.8% 41.0%
3PT% 33.8% 33.1%
REB / G 36.8 37.0
OREB / G 10.1 12.0
AST / TO 0.95 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 47.0%
TOV% 18.7% 17.7%
ORB% 29.4% 33.0%
FT Rate 25.3% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 15.5%
DRB% 74.2% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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