I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money CBU -150 / SEA +150
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +21 147 Won
Massey CBU -1.4 (+19.6) — —
Massey Totals — 130.2 (+16.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 38% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 46% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -0.7 (+20.3) 136.6 (+10.4) 44% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SEA -0.1 (+21.1) 135.4 (+11.6) 45% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -0.6 (+20.4) 134.0 (+13.0) 51% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -0.3 (+20.7) 135.3 (+11.7) 45% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 SEA 72 – 48 CBU
Jan 5, 2025 CBU 61 – 59 SEA
Mar 15, 2024 SEA 81 – 57 CBU
Feb 4, 2024 SEA 61 – 60 CBU
Jan 6, 2024 SEA 48 – 46 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SEA
Overall 17-16 20-12
Conference 8-10 11-7
Home 13-5 12-2
Away 4-8 7-7
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.8 70.3
Avg Pts Against 65.9 70.0
Massey 0.0 (#170) 2.3 (#129)
Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#196) 0.90 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.07 (#175) 0.83 (#110)
RPI 0.459 (#262) 0.547 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SEA
FG% 42.4% 40.0%
3PT% 32.2% 31.2%
REB / G 36.4 37.2
OREB / G 10.6 11.4
AST / TO 1.08 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 47.2%
TOV% 18.0% 17.0%
ORB% 29.7% 30.1%
FT Rate 19.9% 21.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 18.0%
DRB% 73.9% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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