Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -500 UTEP +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -9.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -8.9 (-24.9) | 141.2 (-23.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -10.1 (-26.1) | 137.8 (-19.8) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -9.8 (-25.8) | 139.2 (-21.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -8.9 (-24.9) | 142.6 (-24.6) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LIB 80 – 69 UTEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LIB 81 – 60 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | LIB 76 – 69 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTEP 72 – 70 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#114) | -2.4 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#136) | -0.50 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#131) | -0.48 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#128) | 0.465 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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