Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -105 LIB -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -2.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -1.7 (-5.3) | 135.6 (+9.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.8 (-5.2) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.4 (-4.6) | 135.6 (+9.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -1.3 (-5.7) | 135.3 (+9.7) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LIB 80 – 69 UTEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LIB 81 – 60 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTEP 72 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTEP 66 – 57 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#134) | 7.6 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#93) | 1.50 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#126) | 2.01 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#80) | 0.560 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 19.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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