Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -425 UTEP +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -10.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.2 (-11.2) | 136.5 (+5.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -9.3 (-11.3) | 135.3 (+6.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -10.4 (-12.4) | 136.1 (+5.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -10.9 (-12.9) | 135.4 (+6.6) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LIB 80 – 69 UTEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LIB 81 – 60 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | LIB 76 – 69 UTEP |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTEP 66 – 57 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#77) | 0.4 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#69) | 0.85 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#61) | 0.55 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#74) | 0.538 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 25.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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