Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -320 UTEP +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -7.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -6.0 (+15.0) | 137.8 (+3.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -8.2 (+12.8) | 138.9 (+2.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -7.9 (+13.1) | 140.1 (+0.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -7.3 (+13.7) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LIB 80 – 69 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | LIB 76 – 69 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTEP 72 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTEP 66 – 57 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#71) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#57) | 0.36 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#58) | 0.22 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#64) | 0.518 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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