Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -150 TNST +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -1.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.5 (+0.5) | 132.8 (-12.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -2.0 (+0.0) | 133.8 (-13.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -1.9 (+0.1) | 133.3 (-13.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -2.5 (-0.5) | 134.0 (-14.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | TNST 83 – 56 WIU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | TNST 90 – 68 WIU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | TNST 87 – 69 WIU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TNST 72 – 52 WIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | WIU 68 – 61 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#265) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#210) | -0.79 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#197) | -1.13 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.486 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.