Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -163 UTEP +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +9 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -4.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -3.8 (-12.8) | 133.1 (-10.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.5 (-11.5) | 134.3 (-11.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.4 (-11.4) | 134.4 (-11.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -3.1 (-12.1) | 134.9 (-11.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LIB 73 – 64 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LIB 80 – 69 UTEP |
| Mar 12, 2025 | LIB 81 – 60 UTEP |
| Feb 16, 2025 | LIB 76 – 69 UTEP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTEP 72 – 70 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#133) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#148) | -0.36 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -0.29 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#132) | 0.478 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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