Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -600 TTU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -10.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -7.5 (+15.5) | 129.1 (+11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -7.2 (+15.8) | 126.6 (+14.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -7.6 (+15.4) | 128.6 (+12.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -7.5 (+15.5) | 128.1 (+12.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TTU 90 – 86 HOU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | HOU 69 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | HOU 69 – 61 TTU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TTU 82 – 81 HOU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HOU 77 – 54 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-5 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-0 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 24.0 (#1) | 13.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#2) | 2.21 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.70 (#1) | 2.56 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#2) | 0.583 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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