Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | HOU -500 TTU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -10.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (+31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -9.0 (-10.0) | 131.3 (+31.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOU -10.2 (-11.2) | 126.5 (+36.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOU -9.9 (-10.9) | 128.6 (+34.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -9.6 (-10.6) | 132.2 (+30.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TTU 90 – 86 HOU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | HOU 69 – 65 TTU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | HOU 69 – 61 TTU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | HOU 82 – 59 TTU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | HOU 77 – 54 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-5 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 15-5 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 10-0 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 26.0 (#2) | 18.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#6) | 2.44 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.70 (#6) | 3.65 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#8) | 0.583 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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