Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
John W. Pope Jr. Convocation Center · December 19, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LONG -3.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money CAM +135 / LONG -160
Model Predictions
Spread Total CAM win
Actual LONG +22 132 Lost
Massey CAM -3.7 (-25.7) — —
Massey Totals — 138.0 (-6.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 25% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 25% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAM -2.9 (-24.9) 138.9 (-6.9) 62% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAM -1.2 (-23.2) 138.4 (-6.4) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CAM -2.9 (-24.9) 138.9 (-6.9) 60% ✗
Baseline ML CAM -3.8 (-25.8) 139.1 (-7.1) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 3, 2023 CAM 81 – 68 LONG
Feb 4, 2023 LONG 74 – 50 CAM
Dec 31, 2022 LONG 67 – 42 CAM
Feb 26, 2022 LONG 60 – 55 CAM
Jan 20, 2022 LONG 72 – 64 CAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CAM LONG
Overall 15-17 18-14
Conference 10-8 7-9
Home 8-6 12-4
Away 7-10 5-7
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 68.9 76.6
Avg Pts Against 69.3 76.1
Massey -5.4 (#265) -4.9 (#252)
Bradley-Terry -2.16 (#331) -0.26 (#196)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.31 (#310) -0.35 (#197)
RPI 0.368 (#352) 0.438 (#281)
Shooting & Four Factors CAM LONG
FG% 41.4% 43.1%
3PT% 30.5% 26.8%
REB / G 30.6 32.6
OREB / G 7.7 11.6
AST / TO 1.02 0.88
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 48.1%
TOV% 17.3% 19.1%
ORB% 22.8% 32.8%
FT Rate 27.4% 34.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.1% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 24.0%
DRB% 76.9% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 21.3%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.