Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -6.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -6.6 (+1.4) | 131.3 (+4.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -5.9 (+2.1) | 130.9 (+5.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -6.8 (+1.2) | 131.2 (+4.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -6.5 (+1.5) | 132.9 (+3.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | LONG 77 – 55 CAM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | CAM 81 – 68 LONG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | LONG 74 – 50 CAM |
| Dec 31, 2022 | LONG 67 – 42 CAM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | LONG 60 – 55 CAM |
Game Analysis
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