Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +110 LONG -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +25 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -1.3 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-33.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -2.1 (-22.9) | 141.3 (-32.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.2 (-21.8) | 136.7 (-27.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -1.3 (-23.7) | 143.0 (-34.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -1.9 (-23.1) | 142.7 (-33.7) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | LONG 77 – 55 CAM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | CAM 81 – 68 LONG |
| Feb 4, 2023 | LONG 74 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | LONG 60 – 55 CAM |
| Jan 20, 2022 | LONG 72 – 64 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#224) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#260) | 0.16 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#234) | 0.14 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#308) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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