Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | LONG -333 CAM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +24 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -8.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -5.5 (+18.5) | 134.2 (-10.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -7.1 (+16.9) | 130.7 (-6.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -5.5 (+18.5) | 134.8 (-10.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -5.4 (+18.6) | 134.1 (-10.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | LONG 77 – 55 CAM |
| Mar 3, 2023 | CAM 81 – 68 LONG |
| Dec 31, 2022 | LONG 67 – 42 CAM |
| Feb 26, 2022 | LONG 60 – 55 CAM |
| Jan 20, 2022 | LONG 72 – 64 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#157) | -4.4 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#214) | -0.90 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#205) | -1.10 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#197) | 0.456 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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