Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MSST -600 LSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +29 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -6.3 (+22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -6.0 (+23.0) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -6.4 (+22.6) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -6.4 (+22.6) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -5.1 (+23.9) | 147.4 (+5.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | MSST 80 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MSST 81 – 69 LSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | MSST 70 – 60 LSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MSST 87 – 67 LSU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | MSST 64 – 53 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#33) | 8.1 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#17) | 1.45 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#21) | 1.76 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#29) | 0.507 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.