Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -360 LEM +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +1 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -3.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -3.1 (-2.1) | 141.8 (+13.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -3.9 (-2.9) | 139.1 (+15.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -2.7 (-1.7) | 141.6 (+13.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -2.7 (-1.7) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 59 LEM |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CCSU 86 – 67 LEM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CCSU 84 – 75 LEM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CCSU 93 – 70 LEM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LEM 69 – 64 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | -7.6 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#250) | -1.34 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#277) | -1.89 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#241) | 0.445 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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