Betting Lines
| Spread | LEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LEM -122 CCSU +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | LEM -2.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEM -0.6 (-10.6) | 145.4 (-17.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.5 (-9.5) | 145.2 (-17.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEM -0.9 (-10.9) | 144.0 (-16.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEM -1.1 (-11.1) | 144.9 (-16.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CCSU 78 – 77 LEM |
| Mar 6, 2025 | CCSU 86 – 67 LEM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | CCSU 84 – 75 LEM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CCSU 93 – 70 LEM |
| Feb 16, 2024 | LEM 69 – 64 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEM | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#267) | -5.3 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#295) | -0.50 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#302) | -1.04 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#299) | 0.475 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEM | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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