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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.2
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mississippi Valley State
@
Florida A&M
|
+20.5 | 137.7 | 97% | 53–83 | ✓ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Bethune-Cookman
|
+21.6 | 156.6 | 98% | 64–73 | ✓ |
Bucknell
@
Colgate
|
+6.2 | 138.2 | 71% | 80–87 | ✓ |
Stonehill
@
Le Moyne
|
-2.1 | 147.6 | 42% | 72–73 | ✗ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Chicago State
|
-2.6 | 147.8 | 41% | 58–48 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Houston Christian
|
-6.1 | 145.3 | 29% | 72–76 | ✗ |
Idaho
@
Montana
|
+3.6 | 152.7 | 63% | 67–72 | ✓ |
Eastern Washington
@
Montana State
|
+7.6 | 145.7 | 76% | 64–74 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
North Carolina A&T
|
-1.9 | 145.2 | 43% | 74–73 | ✓ |
Ohio
@
Eastern Michigan
|
-6.7 | 156.8 | 27% | 87–94 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.