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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–1 on winners
spread MAE 4.6
5 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nebraska
@
Arizona State
|
-2.4 | 148.2 | 41% | 86–78 | ✓ |
Georgetown
@
Washington State
|
-3.7 | 151.7 | 37% | 85–82 | ✓ |
DePaul
@
Cincinnati
|
+8.0 | 138.7 | 77% | 61–83 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
UCF
|
+0.8 | 159.2 | 53% | 75–76 | ✓ |
North Texas
@
UC Irvine
|
-0.3 | 124.6 | 49% | 67–69 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.