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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–4 on winners spread MAE 10.2 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota State @ UTEP -3.6 139.2 37% 66–76 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ LSU +27.5 162.7 99% 90–104 ✓
Princeton @ Temple +11.0 145.4 84% 61–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Wright State +9.8 136.7 81% 64–70 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida State +18.8 155.2 96% 63–87 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Saint Joseph's +3.6 141.2 63% 68–62 ✗
Bryant @ High Point +17.3 153.8 94% 47–93 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ West Virginia +35.5 137.7 100% 51–86 ✓
Stonehill @ Syracuse +21.8 137.7 98% 48–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Rhode Island +11.6 140.5 85% 77–85 ✓
Canisius @ Duquesne +17.4 144.6 94% 59–103 ✓
Rider @ VCU +32.9 138.7 100% 79–100 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Boston College +20.1 141.3 97% 61–72 ✓
East Carolina @ North Carolina +27.3 142.3 99% 51–99 ✓
Davidson @ Kansas +16.7 137.6 94% 61–90 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +9.6 160.9 81% 48–91 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +16.2 151.0 93% 67–88 ✓
UT Arlington @ Oral Roberts -2.9 134.8 40% 69–57 ✓
Central Michigan @ Wisconsin +25.5 156.2 99% 61–88 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Grand Canyon +24.6 165.8 99% 78–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Texas +26.5 136.6 99% 71–94 ✓
Utah Tech @ Creighton +16.8 144.2 94% 69–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arizona +37.4 151.0 100% 71–107 ✓
Eastern Washington @ BYU +31.9 166.3 100% 81–109 ✓
UC Irvine @ Norfolk State -4.9 128.3 33% 89–70 ✓
Stetson @ Oklahoma +24.9 149.8 99% 54–107 ✓
San Diego @ Washington +19.3 152.4 96% 56–86 ✓
Sacramento State @ Cal State Northridge +5.5 160.3 69% 88–100 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Saint Mary's +10.3 125.8 83% 58–63 ✓
Green Bay @ Campbell +0.4 150.3 52% 79–102 ✓
Binghamton @ Army +13.0 147.3 88% 85–95 ✓
Bellarmine @ Kentucky +27.0 151.7 99% 85–99 ✓
Grambling @ Ohio State +19.5 154.1 96% 63–89 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UCF +11.2 167.0 85% 80–85 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri State -2.3 145.7 42% 65–70 ✗
UC Riverside @ UCLA +19.5 150.1 96% 65–97 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Bakersfield -8.7 153.4 22% 63–64 ✗
Morgan State @ Loyola Marymount +26.5 143.6 99% 56–83 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +21.1 146.5 97% 59–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.