The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–10 on winners spread MAE 9.5 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
McNeese @ Michigan +23.8 158.7 98% 71–112 ✓
Kent State @ Purdue +24.8 164.5 99% 60–101 ✓
Cornell @ Michigan State +22.3 162.8 98% 97–114 ✓
New Haven @ Vanderbilt +37.6 144.7 100% 53–96 ✓
Long Island University @ Georgia +28.6 177.7 100% 74–89 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Murray State +9.0 170.1 79% 81–84 ✓
Belmont @ Indiana State -10.1 158.5 18% 80–81 ✗
Delaware State @ Rutgers +17.9 133.2 95% 50–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +7.6 145.5 76% 70–66 ✗
Lipscomb @ Cincinnati +5.7 143.1 70% 62–89 ✓
Oakland @ Wright State +4.2 162.3 65% 73–88 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +5.4 151.9 69% 79–77 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +0.0 186.4 50% 86–99 ✓
Iona @ Mount St. Mary's -7.7 160.4 24% 59–66 ✗
Manhattan @ Rider -1.1 149.0 46% 74–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T -5.8 144.9 30% 87–78 ✓
Drexel @ Charleston +9.6 144.0 81% 63–72 ✓
Campbell @ Hofstra +16.2 154.0 93% 72–86 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hampton +2.2 140.3 58% 59–62 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +8.4 163.4 78% 91–103 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State -6.3 143.6 28% 67–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Mississippi State +14.6 158.6 91% 56–94 ✓
Lamar @ Northwestern State +0.1 147.1 50% 76–61 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ East Texas A&M -7.8 149.9 24% 75–48 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +3.4 119.0 62% 63–75 ✓
Houston Christian @ Iowa State +32.1 149.3 100% 61–89 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Houston +19.1 133.7 96% 60–69 ✓
Yale @ Alabama +12.7 179.5 88% 78–102 ✓
James Madison @ Arkansas +23.8 163.6 98% 74–103 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +14.4 123.0 91% 48–58 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +15.2 144.7 92% 68–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Ole Miss +26.3 150.1 99% 43–79 ✓
Southern Miss @ LSU +17.3 158.0 94% 62–90 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M +23.8 175.8 98% 82–111 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Oklahoma +38.9 155.8 100% 69–93 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +2.6 162.3 59% 55–77 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Oklahoma State +23.2 165.5 98% 77–103 ✓
Jackson State @ TCU +31.3 142.2 100% 64–115 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +11.6 142.8 85% 66–73 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Arlington +5.7 138.1 70% 69–63 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ UT Rio Grande Valley +10.9 155.7 84% 85–69 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +6.6 137.8 73% 76–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Arizona +27.9 154.0 99% 71–99 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake -2.5 145.2 41% 73–56 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Minnesota +22.6 139.3 98% 43–60 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +14.2 154.0 90% 66–80 ✓
Queens University @ Auburn +19.2 178.7 96% 65–106 ✓
Utah @ Washington +13.8 158.7 90% 65–74 ✓
Vermont @ Princeton -1.7 142.6 44% 69–75 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word +10.7 141.5 83% 70–79 ✓
Ohio @ Central Michigan -5.4 152.5 31% 80–64 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -15.4 141.2 8% 68–56 ✓
Howard @ Northwestern +19.3 142.1 96% 60–80 ✓
UAlbany @ South Carolina +19.1 148.2 96% 67–96 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -14.0 145.8 10% 74–49 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +12.7 160.9 88% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.