Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–17 on winners spread MAE 9.3 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UConn @ Providence -10.1 159.9 18% 103–98 ✓
Belmont @ Northern Iowa +3.1 132.7 61% 78–65 ✗
American University @ Colgate +8.2 154.2 77% 62–64 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU -0.0 173.4 50% 71–62 ✓
Richmond @ St. Bonaventure +3.7 156.7 63% 89–80 ✗
La Salle @ Rhode Island +11.6 130.4 85% 79–72 ✗
George Mason @ Fordham -4.5 128.5 34% 67–58 ✓
Duquesne @ Saint Joseph's -3.8 159.3 37% 90–97 ✗
East Carolina @ Temple +13.5 150.3 89% 67–75 ✓
Boston University @ Lafayette +1.0 150.8 53% 83–67 ✗
Presbyterian @ Radford +4.7 146.1 66% 61–80 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ High Point +31.7 168.8 100% 49–104 ✓
Xavier @ Marquette +2.5 159.4 59% 65–66 ✓
Miami @ Wake Forest -1.5 156.3 45% 81–77 ✓
Stanford @ Virginia Tech +6.4 156.5 72% 69–68 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +12.0 136.8 86% 55–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ Samford +5.6 154.4 69% 77–82 ✓
The Citadel @ Mercer +21.7 150.1 98% 63–101 ✓
VMI @ East Tennessee State +22.1 148.5 98% 67–81 ✓
Marshall @ James Madison -1.3 157.4 45% 66–64 ✓
Missouri @ Kentucky +13.4 155.5 89% 73–68 ✗
Oklahoma @ Mississippi State -1.2 163.2 46% 53–72 ✗
Missouri State @ Kennesaw State +4.2 152.2 65% 80–90 ✓
Florida International @ Jacksonville State -1.6 149.5 44% 64–71 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +9.1 146.5 79% 71–69 ✗
Rice @ Wichita State +19.2 146.6 96% 66–64 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +3.4 162.1 62% 76–71 ✗
Creighton @ Villanova +7.6 139.7 76% 76–72 ✗
Iowa State @ Baylor -7.2 168.2 26% 70–60 ✓
Illinois State @ Valparaiso -8.1 135.1 23% 71–77 ✗
Southern Illinois @ UIC -4.0 152.1 36% 57–70 ✗
Murray State @ Evansville -12.5 156.2 13% 79–69 ✓
South Florida @ North Texas -4.0 145.8 36% 74–70 ✓
Charlotte @ UTSA -7.6 141.5 25% 74–58 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas State +4.1 172.2 65% 74–86 ✓
Washington @ Purdue +16.3 148.0 93% 73–81 ✓
Kansas State @ Arizona +19.8 167.3 96% 76–101 ✓
Arizona State @ BYU +18.9 161.0 96% 76–104 ✓
Alabama @ Vanderbilt +8.0 182.4 77% 90–96 ✓
Arkansas @ Ole Miss -5.4 154.0 31% 94–87 ✓
California @ Virginia +11.3 151.5 85% 60–84 ✓
SMU @ Clemson +3.0 155.0 61% 70–74 ✓
Drake @ Bradley +4.9 148.6 67% 66–93 ✓
Davidson @ Loyola Chicago -7.2 142.5 26% 79–64 ✓
Utah @ Colorado +9.7 170.5 81% 73–85 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas +14.9 164.3 91% 86–99 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Boise State +10.5 136.2 83% 75–58 ✗
Hofstra @ Towson -2.9 129.8 39% 78–67 ✓
Chicago State @ Fairleigh Dickinson +2.2 147.8 58% 63–70 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +3.1 144.2 61% 77–63 ✗
Maine @ UMBC +10.9 129.0 84% 62–69 ✓
Northwestern @ Michigan State +12.7 139.8 87% 66–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.