We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
35–17 on winners spread MAE 9.0 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +9.1 136.5 80% 64–86 ✓
Murray State @ Indiana State -4.8 169.1 33% 74–72 ✓
Marist @ Merrimack +0.1 125.1 50% 56–81 ✓
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb -21.4 159.5 3% 103–85 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Longwood -0.9 143.0 47% 79–74 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern +5.6 149.0 70% 67–84 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -11.9 157.9 14% 95–70 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State -4.2 161.2 35% 85–68 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland +7.3 161.0 75% 86–82 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +10.8 154.2 84% 77–74 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +3.4 148.7 62% 59–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ New Haven -1.9 129.7 43% 81–76 ✓
Stonehill @ Chicago State +0.5 134.7 52% 55–68 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner -5.4 149.8 31% 67–57 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Le Moyne +3.3 138.8 62% 57–58 ✓
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +7.6 148.3 75% 59–66 ✓
Stony Brook @ Towson +5.0 129.1 67% 57–69 ✓
Hofstra @ Charleston -2.1 148.4 43% 66–62 ✓
Monmouth @ Drexel +2.8 130.8 60% 93–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Northeastern -5.6 169.0 30% 94–67 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +8.4 155.3 78% 54–65 ✓
Georgia State @ James Madison +6.2 145.2 71% 79–81 ✓
Delaware @ Florida International +9.8 151.3 81% 68–66 ✗
UIC @ Drake +0.6 146.8 52% 80–70 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +5.1 149.5 68% 66–73 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +14.3 143.0 90% 60–86 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +6.7 146.6 73% 60–69 ✓
St. Thomas @ Omaha -6.0 154.5 29% 94–98 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana -2.3 131.0 42% 69–65 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +9.1 168.1 80% 79–95 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Arizona -8.4 137.2 22% 77–68 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss +1.5 140.5 55% 84–78 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +1.2 136.7 54% 56–74 ✓
Little Rock @ Western Illinois -5.1 140.9 32% 77–58 ✓
UT Martin @ Lindenwood -0.4 140.4 48% 74–75 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -7.8 146.2 24% 83–66 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State +5.8 130.8 70% 79–78 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +4.9 134.9 67% 86–91 ✓
Oregon State @ San Francisco +9.0 144.6 79% 90–63 ✗
Memphis @ North Texas -2.2 131.2 42% 69–76 ✗
South Dakota State @ Denver -0.0 165.0 50% 61–79 ✗
Weber State @ Idaho +4.5 157.5 66% 83–72 ✗
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +2.9 154.3 60% 75–88 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana -6.1 149.9 29% 73–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -6.5 152.6 28% 77–81 ✗
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian -3.2 130.6 39% 63–67 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield -15.0 147.7 9% 89–74 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -7.3 148.8 25% 76–68 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State -0.0 161.0 50% 86–82 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -6.0 156.7 29% 73–79 ✗
UC Davis @ UC San Diego +6.3 149.0 72% 51–68 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara +1.1 142.9 54% 76–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.