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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–1 on winners spread MAE 6.7 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
McNeese @ Alabama — — — 64–72 —
Grambling @ Florida +16.0 143.4 85% 62–86 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rutgers — — — 65–75 —
Southern Indiana @ Marshall +2.6 150.8 75% 63–77 ✓
Stony Brook @ George Mason +9.0 140.0 76% 56–94 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Pittsburgh +15.5 148.8 87% 64–83 ✓
Buffalo @ Notre Dame +11.1 147.6 82% 77–86 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Missouri +10.5 149.1 85% 77–84 ✓
Western Michigan @ Butler — — — 65–85 —
UT Martin @ North Alabama — — — 69–87 —
Jacksonville @ Furman — — — 69–78 —
Florida A&M @ Maryland — — — 53–84 —
Winthrop @ Virginia Tech — — — 52–58 —
Coppin State @ Virginia +16.2 122.5 86% 45–62 ✓
Alcorn State @ Tulane +23.8 140.2 90% 51–84 ✓
Kansas City @ Iowa State — — — 56–82 —
Yale @ Purdue +8.6 145.6 79% 84–92 ✓
Lamar @ Texas A&M — — — 71–97 —
Northwestern State @ Oklahoma — — — 57–73 —
Chattanooga @ Austin Peay — — — 61–67 —
UNC Greensboro @ SMU +12.7 148.1 81% 68–81 ✓
Central Michigan @ Marquette +18.9 149.2 88% 62–70 ✓
Mercer @ DePaul — — — 64–95 —
North Dakota State @ Cal State Bakersfield — — — 81–86 —
Idaho @ Washington State +21.0 151.8 85% 67–90 ✓
Boston University @ UCLA +23.8 134.1 89% 40–71 ✓
Pacific @ Hawai'i +7.4 148.3 67% 66–76 ✓
Villanova @ Saint Joseph's +4.2 140.7 60% 76–83 ✓
Michigan State @ Kansas -3.4 151.5 52% 69–77 ✗
Hampton @ Providence +18.5 127.9 87% 51–60 ✓
Cornell @ La Salle — — — 77–93 —

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.