Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–8 on winners spread MAE 10.1 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Norfolk State @ William & Mary +2.1 146.1 78% 73–84 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Indiana State — — — 77–72 —
Old Dominion @ Radford +12.2 149.7 85% 75–87 ✓
Drexel @ Temple — — — 61–69 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ South Florida +13.9 155.4 88% 69–85 ✓
Fairfield @ New Hampshire +3.0 141.5 56% 62–56 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.8 140.9 79% 69–91 ✓
West Georgia @ Tennessee Tech +15.2 146.2 87% 73–76 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ NJIT -3.6 130.2 36% 68–50 ✓
Lehigh @ Columbia +22.9 151.6 90% 75–76 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Lafayette +4.0 135.8 72% 63–65 ✓
Monmouth @ Northern Illinois — — — 66–79 —
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Miami (OH) +7.7 149.4 84% 70–88 ✓
American University @ Siena +4.7 133.3 77% 66–74 ✓
North Carolina Central @ High Point +16.8 148.9 87% 60–76 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ George Washington +20.5 144.2 89% 80–85 ✓
Binghamton @ Fordham +6.9 137.6 74% 63–78 ✓
Tarleton State @ Florida State +25.2 140.6 91% 52–72 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UCF — — — 94–100 —
Saint Francis @ Penn State +25.6 152.1 91% 62–92 ✓
UIC @ Northwestern +19.9 141.8 86% 74–83 ✓
Towson @ South Carolina +10.9 138.5 80% 54–80 ✓
North Florida @ Georgia +3.9 157.5 59% 77–90 ✓
Colgate @ Syracuse — — — 72–74 —
Rider @ Navy +4.7 143.0 72% 90–79 ✗
Delaware @ Iona +13.6 153.0 85% 64–58 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Clemson — — — 62–75 —
Texas Southern @ Georgia Tech +8.9 157.3 83% 62–81 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Mississippi State +19.5 151.7 88% 59–80 ✓
Sam Houston @ Baylor +1.6 146.7 58% 67–104 ✓
South Alabama @ Ole Miss +12.1 139.6 81% 54–64 ✓
Little Rock @ Arkansas State +9.7 152.0 83% 63–80 ✓
Cleveland State @ Valparaiso +8.4 141.6 62% 75–67 ✗
UL Monroe @ Rice +9.1 143.4 83% 50–66 ✓
Ohio @ Illinois State +13.4 142.9 86% 75–85 ✓
UTSA @ Bradley — — — 72–85 —
Prairie View A&M @ Incarnate Word — — — 81–84 —
Chicago State @ Texas +26.6 150.3 90% 58–105 ✓
Belmont @ Lipscomb +9.3 143.4 70% 80–79 ✗
Texas State @ TCU — — — 71–76 —
Jackson State @ Xavier +18.2 145.5 86% 57–94 ✓
Duke @ Kentucky +2.8 157.6 61% 72–77 ✓
Denver @ Colorado State +16.7 147.3 88% 65–74 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ New Mexico +4.6 152.6 70% 81–100 ✓
South Dakota @ Iowa +11.8 155.6 84% 77–96 ✓
Queens University @ Utah — — — 65–96 —
UC Riverside @ California Baptist — — — 70–69 —
Akron @ Saint Mary's +12.2 150.1 70% 68–87 ✓
Sacramento State @ UC San Diego — — — 54–64 —
Portland State @ San Diego +5.2 143.0 52% 85–76 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Stanford — — — 64–90 —
Portland @ Oregon — — — 70–80 —
UAlbany @ Dartmouth +6.2 140.0 74% 87–73 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Massachusetts — — — 76–66 —
Wagner @ St. John's +21.9 145.9 89% 45–66 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Bellarmine +2.9 141.0 51% 71–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.