We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–22 on winners spread MAE 9.6 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ Radford +2.6 146.4 65% 53–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Wagner -2.1 125.2 47% 57–63 ✗
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne -0.1 151.2 50% 81–76 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst -1.1 142.3 48% 60–65 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Chicago State -12.1 135.9 14% 81–75 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont -1.6 140.9 45% 55–59 ✗
Georgia State @ James Madison +9.6 146.5 83% 63–83 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +13.3 135.1 86% 72–69 ✗
Charleston @ Northeastern +0.7 147.7 51% 73–62 ✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -5.6 140.4 30% 50–53 ✗
Towson @ Elon +1.3 133.2 51% 63–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Hofstra +3.8 135.7 64% 68–62 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson -11.1 144.1 20% 83–80 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University +5.5 148.0 72% 92–78 ✗
UTEP @ Kennesaw State +2.6 143.3 63% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State +5.2 135.3 69% 61–52 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State -3.3 133.7 32% 80–62 ✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia +3.2 146.4 59% 82–71 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +2.9 143.5 63% 83–78 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +8.8 152.0 80% 76–95 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +4.5 137.8 69% 87–78 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +6.1 145.3 71% 63–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Florida -0.3 152.8 50% 73–77 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +4.9 140.2 73% 59–75 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +10.3 135.0 78% 93–92 ✗
USC @ Maryland +12.7 152.2 87% 71–88 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +2.0 142.7 61% 66–71 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +11.4 140.4 87% 66–87 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +3.4 137.4 61% 63–54 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +5.1 154.7 70% 75–68 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +5.7 134.0 65% 80–77 ✗
Portland State @ Idaho State +0.8 139.8 58% 74–82 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +2.2 137.1 62% 71–66 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.6 144.7 24% 79–77 ✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +5.1 155.6 73% 78–62 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +4.5 137.0 70% 85–74 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -11.9 154.2 15% 81–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +7.6 149.1 79% 84–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +17.2 140.4 89% 56–86 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +11.7 142.7 87% 66–87 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +18.0 142.0 89% 58–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Pepperdine -8.1 146.0 25% 84–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +14.6 144.7 87% 61–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +6.9 155.3 75% 69–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.