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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 12.1
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Villanova
@
Colorado
|
-3.3 | 136.6 | 39% | 85–64 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+0.3 | 145.8 | 46% | 80–73 | ✗ |
Tulane
@
USC
|
+8.2 | 150.1 | 76% | 60–89 | ✓ |
Butler
@
Boise State
|
+4.4 | 142.0 | 69% | 93–100 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.