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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–10 on winners spread MAE 9.7 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Navy @ North Carolina +15.2 149.1 84% 61–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Delaware +5.6 138.6 66% 70–81 ✓
NJIT @ Drexel +1.6 140.2 52% 43–75 ✓
Towson @ James Madison +1.8 130.4 48% 75–81 ✓
New Haven @ Seton Hall +24.8 127.8 91% 45–68 ✓
New Hampshire @ Providence +16.1 147.3 87% 66–98 ✓
UT Martin @ Florida State +13.9 156.6 83% 73–87 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina +17.9 154.5 86% 58–87 ✓
Princeton @ Iona +14.0 153.5 85% 69–89 ✓
Old Dominion @ Xavier +4.3 141.8 68% 69–99 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Detroit Mercy +1.5 153.0 49% 72–62 ✗
Jacksonville @ George Mason +12.4 134.1 84% 57–79 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Longwood +12.6 135.6 86% 83–82 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Kent State +12.7 158.2 86% 78–93 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Charleston Southern +4.0 159.9 67% 91–103 ✓
East Carolina @ UNC Wilmington +9.1 142.7 79% 60–85 ✓
Boston University @ Columbia +8.6 141.9 74% 49–54 ✓
Hampton @ Boston College +13.1 135.3 85% 52–63 ✓
Holy Cross @ Brown +0.1 136.9 52% 49–68 ✓
Saint Francis @ Lehigh +14.6 141.4 88% 62–79 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia Tech +8.7 153.1 77% 66–68 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Morgan State +2.7 152.9 61% 79–73 ✗
Winthrop @ Arkansas +8.3 157.5 75% 83–84 ✓
Alcorn State @ LSU +35.3 151.3 91% 81–107 ✓
Austin Peay @ Ole Miss +8.9 140.4 79% 65–72 ✓
Montana @ Texas A&M +4.3 158.3 64% 81–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ DePaul +14.5 143.8 86% 62–93 ✓
Little Rock @ Murray State +22.6 149.6 91% 68–89 ✓
UT Arlington @ Evansville +0.7 131.5 41% 84–76 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Texas State +1.7 135.7 61% 49–63 ✓
Chicago State @ Minnesota +24.8 143.6 90% 54–66 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa +20.6 137.2 88% 57–70 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ SMU +21.6 153.7 90% 60–106 ✓
Rhode Island @ Yale +23.9 149.1 90% 86–77 ✗
Army @ Cornell +20.8 151.6 91% 73–86 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Iowa +20.1 147.6 88% 70–99 ✓
Kansas @ Duke +6.4 147.3 74% 66–78 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Fresno State -2.4 141.0 39% 78–80 ✗
Grambling @ San Diego +7.3 140.3 74% 68–78 ✓
Wichita State @ Boise State +7.9 147.2 75% 59–62 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Utah +13.9 153.4 85% 77–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Syracuse +27.6 130.5 91% 73–78 ✓
Rider @ Texas +26.6 130.7 91% 65–99 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Pepperdine -2.9 146.7 45% 79–90 ✗
Southern @ Washington +27.8 151.7 91% 93–99 ✓
Northwestern State @ San Francisco +17.6 144.1 88% 64–84 ✓
UC Davis @ Nevada +7.7 146.2 81% 75–71 ✗
Troy @ San Diego State +12.6 135.3 81% 108–107 ✗
Idaho State @ Santa Clara +13.6 140.4 83% 55–64 ✓
UC Riverside @ California Baptist +16.8 141.3 87% 57–80 ✓
Louisiana @ Stanford +21.5 135.4 88% 66–93 ✓
Presbyterian @ California +20.5 138.9 88% 57–67 ✓
Sacramento State @ UCLA +12.9 138.3 84% 48–79 ✓
Alabama State @ Air Force -2.1 139.5 45% 64–66 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Michigan +18.6 153.2 86% 61–86 ✓
Harvard @ Penn State +17.8 135.5 87% 80–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.