Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–4 on winners spread MAE 8.2 34 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Louisville @ Tennessee +0.3 155.5 58% 62–83 ✓
DePaul @ St. John's +15.7 146.5 89% 66–79 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -11.7 144.2 19% 83–78 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Greensboro +2.5 147.1 59% 71–65 ✗
Tarleton State @ Mississippi Valley State -11.2 146.0 20% 88–64 ✓
Kansas City @ Oklahoma +25.9 146.5 91% 67–89 ✓
Rider @ Delaware +12.2 131.0 87% 57–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Wright State +2.1 150.2 60% 83–76 ✗
Chicago State @ Bowling Green +25.1 145.4 91% 55–76 ✓
Florida State @ Dayton +9.3 156.9 82% 69–97 ✓
Canisius @ Rhode Island +18.2 130.8 89% 45–62 ✓
South Carolina @ Clemson +13.1 144.5 86% 61–68 ✓
Florida International @ Miami +21.3 154.1 90% 81–98 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Lamar +1.4 132.4 56% 83–72 ✗
Marist @ Georgia Tech +1.2 137.0 52% 76–87 ✓
Long Island University @ Mississippi State +8.4 151.5 81% 83–87 ✓
Little Rock @ Morehead State +7.0 138.5 79% 64–78 ✓
East Tennessee State @ North Carolina +13.2 144.6 83% 58–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech +16.5 154.2 87% 90–101 ✓
Le Moyne @ Texas +21.6 153.8 90% 53–95 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Missouri State +3.4 140.5 65% 62–63 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northwestern +14.5 142.6 87% 70–86 ✓
Butler @ UConn +12.2 147.3 83% 60–79 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Arizona +31.7 141.2 91% 62–96 ✓
Pacific @ BYU +19.8 139.7 89% 57–93 ✓
Queens University @ Arkansas +27.2 162.0 91% 80–108 ✓
Towson @ Kansas +17.9 135.9 89% 49–73 ✓
Montana State @ Cal Poly -2.3 148.6 55% 83–80 ✓
Southern @ California Baptist +13.3 152.7 87% 67–75 ✓
UC San Diego @ Loyola Marymount -1.2 143.0 47% 67–57 ✓
Northern Iowa @ UIC -4.1 133.1 29% 60–54 ✓
Stonehill @ New Hampshire +5.6 136.9 65% 58–59 ✓
Saint Francis @ Florida +32.6 148.5 91% 61–102 ✓
Creighton @ Xavier +4.0 144.9 74% 98–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.