And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–6 on winners spread MAE 13.7 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cal State Northridge @ Stanford +13.9 159.8 88% 80–88 ✓
Winthrop @ Texas Tech +15.0 161.0 86% 57–87 ✓
UL Monroe @ Kansas State +29.8 159.8 91% 85–94 ✓
Columbia @ North Florida -12.0 149.6 16% 90–82 ✓
Le Moyne @ Boston College +11.0 142.1 84% 64–72 ✓
Harvard @ Colgate +6.2 139.2 71% 78–69 ✗
Liberty @ Florida International +0.3 144.0 54% 97–94 ✗
Florida A&M @ Georgia Tech +14.3 144.3 89% 65–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Louisiana -3.3 130.7 39% 54–63 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Colorado +12.0 162.2 80% 86–81 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ SMU +16.5 165.7 88% 63–110 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Richmond +14.5 153.7 87% 77–72 ✗
Washington State @ Portland -1.4 145.6 49% 67–62 ✓
Pennsylvania @ George Mason +16.9 143.3 89% 79–83 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon State -3.3 145.5 38% 102–64 ✓
Pacific @ San Diego -5.8 139.7 30% 54–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Maryland +7.3 151.2 78% 58–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.