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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–10 on winners spread MAE 9.1 56 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
McNeese @ Michigan +22.3 152.4 89% 71–112 ✓
Kent State @ Purdue +23.9 154.9 91% 60–101 ✓
Cornell @ Michigan State +20.2 155.8 90% 97–114 ✓
New Haven @ Vanderbilt +31.7 142.6 91% 53–96 ✓
Long Island University @ Georgia +26.4 166.0 91% 74–89 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Murray State +8.3 160.9 81% 81–84 ✓
Belmont @ Indiana State -8.5 151.2 25% 80–81 ✗
Delaware State @ Rutgers +14.5 134.4 88% 50–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +4.0 140.6 67% 70–66 ✗
Lipscomb @ Cincinnati +5.0 147.1 64% 62–89 ✓
Oakland @ Wright State +3.1 153.1 65% 73–88 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris +3.9 146.6 70% 79–77 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +0.3 161.9 55% 86–99 ✓
Iona @ Mount St. Mary's -10.0 152.8 24% 59–66 ✗
Manhattan @ Rider -1.3 138.6 41% 74–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T -4.9 139.3 30% 87–78 ✓
Drexel @ Charleston +7.7 141.1 78% 63–72 ✓
Campbell @ Hofstra +12.6 144.8 87% 72–86 ✓
Stony Brook @ Hampton +0.7 137.5 54% 59–62 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +7.1 154.3 76% 91–103 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State -5.0 141.3 33% 67–78 ✗
Alabama State @ Mississippi State +11.9 150.9 87% 56–94 ✓
Lamar @ Northwestern State +0.5 140.9 49% 76–61 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ East Texas A&M -8.3 143.0 23% 75–48 ✓
UTEP @ Louisiana Tech +1.8 128.9 49% 63–75 ✓
Houston Christian @ Iowa State +32.4 145.4 91% 61–89 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Houston +19.2 139.4 89% 60–69 ✓
Yale @ Alabama +16.8 165.4 83% 78–102 ✓
James Madison @ Arkansas +24.4 157.2 91% 74–103 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +11.6 131.5 83% 48–58 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +11.8 143.5 86% 68–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Ole Miss +26.0 143.2 91% 43–79 ✓
Southern Miss @ LSU +17.4 152.8 88% 62–90 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M +26.1 164.7 91% 82–111 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Oklahoma +35.9 153.7 91% 69–93 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +1.2 154.8 60% 55–77 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Oklahoma State +22.3 157.0 91% 77–103 ✓
Jackson State @ TCU +33.7 141.8 91% 64–115 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +8.1 142.7 76% 66–73 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Arlington +2.5 133.7 66% 69–63 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ UT Rio Grande Valley +8.1 144.6 82% 85–69 ✗
Nicholls @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +4.0 135.6 62% 76–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Arizona +27.4 152.1 91% 71–99 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake -2.1 145.0 38% 73–56 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Minnesota +23.7 138.0 90% 43–60 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech +10.4 147.1 86% 66–80 ✓
Queens University @ Auburn +19.9 163.9 88% 65–106 ✓
Utah @ Washington +15.0 155.7 87% 65–74 ✓
Vermont @ Princeton -1.6 135.6 44% 69–75 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word +9.0 138.0 78% 70–79 ✓
Ohio @ Central Michigan -5.2 148.9 30% 80–64 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -14.6 137.8 14% 68–56 ✓
Howard @ Northwestern +19.0 139.2 88% 60–80 ✓
UAlbany @ South Carolina +20.4 145.8 90% 67–96 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -12.5 138.6 19% 74–49 ✓
Western Michigan @ Toledo +10.6 153.2 83% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.