Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–20 on winners spread MAE 8.1 69 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida State @ North Carolina +15.1 153.0 86% 66–79 ✓
Duquesne @ Davidson +5.2 148.5 70% 89–83 ✗
Temple @ Charlotte +1.4 141.8 60% 76–73 ✗
Seton Hall @ Marquette -7.9 137.0 24% 79–73 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wisconsin +14.9 154.1 87% 60–80 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Miami +11.5 142.9 87% 69–76 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green +4.6 146.7 68% 93–83 ✗
South Carolina State @ Tennessee +33.9 144.9 91% 54–105 ✓
Massachusetts @ Eastern Michigan +1.3 143.3 58% 74–80 ✓
Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech +2.2 149.6 65% 88–76 ✗
New Hampshire @ Nebraska +28.9 143.5 90% 55–86 ✓
Louisville @ California -3.3 154.7 45% 90–70 ✓
Nevada @ Colorado State +1.4 143.7 54% 75–62 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -11.7 135.4 16% 72–45 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -11.6 145.4 19% 72–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Stanford +3.0 145.8 68% 47–40 ✗
Butler @ Creighton +2.6 151.2 63% 85–89 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Diego -15.7 152.0 16% 99–93 ✓
Washington State @ Seattle U +5.8 139.1 75% 55–69 ✓
Santa Clara @ Portland -12.0 148.3 17% 92–85 ✓
San Francisco @ Oregon State -4.0 141.3 37% 62–70 ✗
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +3.8 133.6 60% 71–80 ✓
San Diego State @ San José State -7.7 143.4 26% 81–68 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +3.5 143.7 70% 53–62 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Rhode Island +15.6 139.5 87% 61–57 ✗
Tulane @ East Carolina -1.4 139.9 51% 79–70 ✓
Army @ Lehigh +1.8 145.8 60% 85–78 ✗
Wake Forest @ NC State +10.9 158.2 82% 57–70 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +1.7 148.7 65% 72–74 ✓
Lamar @ East Texas A&M +0.4 140.7 46% 69–62 ✗
UTSA @ Florida Atlantic +16.7 150.8 89% 70–110 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ American University +8.3 152.8 79% 69–84 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +6.2 137.3 72% 77–82 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois -6.8 145.1 35% 81–67 ✓
Wofford @ Western Carolina -1.6 145.9 46% 79–74 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana -7.0 130.2 30% 63–58 ✓
Virginia @ Virginia Tech +0.2 152.6 53% 85–95 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +10.8 150.8 81% 82–89 ✓
George Mason @ La Salle -8.7 135.1 19% 80–75 ✓
Fordham @ Dayton +11.2 135.6 86% 56–63 ✓
Rice @ Tulsa +19.7 152.7 89% 48–97 ✓
Bucknell @ Holy Cross +2.7 134.1 62% 58–65 ✓
Radford @ South Carolina Upstate +5.4 155.6 73% 76–69 ✗
High Point @ UNC Asheville -7.9 148.7 25% 87–69 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb -12.4 151.5 14% 89–79 ✓
Clemson @ Syracuse -0.3 138.2 50% 64–61 ✓
NJIT @ Pennsylvania +11.7 144.2 89% 61–80 ✓
Charleston @ Elon +5.5 152.8 72% 85–81 ✗
Campbell @ Monmouth +1.6 144.9 58% 68–65 ✗
Stony Brook @ William & Mary +11.0 144.3 85% 57–76 ✓
Texas State @ Troy +10.0 146.1 83% 80–100 ✓
App State @ Old Dominion +1.5 133.7 61% 81–73 ✗
Towson @ Hampton -3.5 131.5 35% 62–63 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -5.5 146.6 37% 85–77 ✓
Winthrop @ Longwood -7.6 157.3 26% 70–82 ✗
Northeastern @ North Carolina A&T +0.8 147.5 55% 85–74 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Duke +22.9 149.1 90% 79–85 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Saint Louis +21.7 152.5 90% 79–102 ✓
George Washington @ Richmond +2.6 154.1 66% 99–85 ✗
North Texas @ Memphis +7.6 132.6 76% 48–57 ✓
Wichita State @ UAB +1.9 143.8 56% 75–70 ✗
Kansas City @ Denver +11.1 147.3 79% 74–87 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +12.2 146.7 86% 80–84 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Northwestern State -11.8 138.5 17% 74–64 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.6 139.9 59% 69–83 ✓
UConn @ Xavier -11.1 141.9 17% 90–67 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota State +11.2 155.5 87% 61–84 ✓
Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley +3.6 142.0 65% 71–69 ✗
DePaul @ Villanova +12.4 136.1 85% 66–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.