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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–14 on winners spread MAE 8.9 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Stonehill @ Central Connecticut +9.0 133.7 80% 69–76 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +12.9 149.7 89% 71–69 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University +8.7 139.6 79% 58–60 ✓
New Haven @ Le Moyne +3.5 132.1 58% 47–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT -0.1 135.9 40% 76–80 ✗
Binghamton @ Vermont +17.6 144.4 90% 59–60 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern -3.4 137.3 35% 87–78 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina A&T -4.9 157.4 32% 69–64 ✓
Hampton @ Campbell +4.5 141.5 67% 72–86 ✓
William & Mary @ Monmouth -4.0 147.4 34% 70–81 ✗
Stony Brook @ Drexel +1.0 132.4 54% 37–56 ✓
App State @ Georgia State -1.9 139.0 40% 52–50 ✓
Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina +3.7 145.5 63% 70–66 ✗
West Georgia @ North Florida -3.7 158.7 38% 85–73 ✓
Queens University @ Jacksonville -1.6 149.9 51% 77–51 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +3.9 140.8 69% 80–88 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson -11.6 144.4 16% 83–91 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Bellarmine +1.0 150.5 54% 78–84 ✓
Austin Peay @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.6 152.1 60% 82–71 ✗
Liberty @ Louisiana Tech -4.4 132.6 40% 72–56 ✓
UT Martin @ Morehead State -3.8 135.2 37% 76–68 ✓
Delaware @ Sam Houston +11.7 140.7 85% 60–72 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota State +4.5 158.5 74% 79–87 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City -8.7 145.1 21% 97–73 ✓
North Dakota @ Omaha +3.6 144.6 62% 79–90 ✓
Texas State @ Southern Miss +9.0 141.5 82% 70–80 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Arizona -1.8 148.4 42% 78–65 ✓
Idaho State @ Northern Colorado +2.4 153.1 66% 72–85 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Valley +23.8 149.7 91% 72–89 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State +7.8 143.3 77% 84–80 ✗
Rutgers @ Illinois +23.7 145.5 91% 55–81 ✓
Tennessee State @ Western Illinois -7.9 141.4 22% 90–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Southern Indiana -5.6 143.3 27% 84–76 ✓
Little Rock @ SIU Edwardsville +6.4 131.0 71% 73–70 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Eastern Illinois +1.2 138.4 50% 61–71 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +4.3 132.5 53% 79–85 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +2.6 147.4 65% 93–86 ✗
Montana @ Idaho +5.5 148.5 76% 79–73 ✗
Montana State @ Eastern Washington -5.0 150.6 37% 68–64 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UTEP -8.3 134.0 23% 80–83 ✗
Western Kentucky @ New Mexico State +3.0 154.6 64% 64–80 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Diego +4.1 141.3 61% 63–83 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Bakersfield +1.8 145.7 56% 66–67 ✓
Seattle U @ Oregon State -5.8 141.6 27% 55–68 ✗
Pacific @ Portland -3.9 139.3 35% 89–90 ✗
Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge +4.7 159.7 72% 90–95 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +10.3 142.6 82% 64–74 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +13.7 158.4 88% 88–71 ✗
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +5.2 140.8 72% 72–84 ✓
Ohio State @ Oregon -0.6 150.5 47% 72–62 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount +1.7 135.9 53% 82–84 ✓
Santa Clara @ Gonzaga +16.5 158.5 87% 77–89 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Toledo -2.4 155.9 31% 87–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.